"Universality and the cost of basic pensions", by Larry Willmore, 30 January 2012. Notes for presentation at a meeting convened by HelpAge International on 23-24 February in the UK. A typical reaction to universal pensions is “That’s a great idea, but we can’t afford it, so prefer to give pensions only to those who need them”. This reaction appears to be common sense, but it is wrong. Means tests shift costs, but do not lower them because means tests are taxes on income or assets. They are paid by elderly citizens and, sometimes, their families. It is more efficient to fund basic pensions with general taxes paid by everyone. All taxes, with the exception of head taxes, distort choices. Of particular concern are taxes that discourage work and saving. Low taxes levied on an entire population are less distorting than high taxes levied on the elderly. This is the efficiency argument for universality. It is valid even with costless and perfect targeting, with no stigma, no exclusion errors, no erosion of political support. It is a simple argument, yet often ignored because means tests are usually recorded as expenditure reductions rather than as tax collections. Framing is important. A message that means tests are taxes could appeal to voters across the political spectrum. It is important to recognize that, even though universality is optimal, all means tests are not equally bad. Clear, simple rules are preferable to complex regulations that leave discretion to government bureaucrats. Rules matter more than whether the number disqualified by targeting is small (an ‘affluence test’) or large (a ‘means test’?). The term ‘affluence test’ is imprecise and adds nothing to our understanding of means tests. To show that means tests are taxes, even when disguised, we examine some typical tests - first simple rules, then complex tests. Our base scheme is one in which everyone who reaches a specified age has a right to a pension, regardless of income, wealth or employment history. It is an age pension, not a retirement pension, because a beneficiary need not retire from work, or have ever worked for pay. This is the universal pension that the World Bank praised in 1994 (p. 240): “Administratively, this is the simplest structure, with the lowest transaction costs, for the public pillar—an important advantage in developing countries with limited institutional capacities and incomplete record-keeping systems. It avoids the disincentive to work and save inherent in means-tested plans. Its universal coverage helps ensure that the poverty reduction objectives are met, provides a basic income for all old people (coinsuring against low investment returns or high longevity), and might receive broad political support.” The cost of this pension is the number of beneficiaries times the size of the pension, plus administrative expenses. Governments sometimes include benefits in taxable income, as New Zealand and Mauritius do, lowering the net fiscal cost. This is a very mild means-test, one that ensures that pensioners and non- pensioners with equal incomes pay the same tax. The test is simple, transparent (not disguised), and it has a ‘fairness’ rationale. But it does penalise paid work by the elderly if the taxable pension moves them to a higher tax bracket. The next test to consider is the pension test. Anyone with other pension income receives a smaller basic pension or none at all. A pension-tested benefit is a “universal minimum pension”. Sweden in 1913 implemented the world’s first universal minimum pension and simultaneously mandated contributions to an earnings-related scheme. This was very forward-looking legislation, because retirement pensions were almost unknown in Sweden at the time. For many years, there were few earnings-related pensions so, for older retirees, the pension was actually universal. The pension test is a tax on other pension income, which discourages contributions to earnings-related schemes. For this reason it is seldom applied to benefits from voluntary pensions. When the test applies only to compulsory schemes, it is feasible to “claw back” the pension from other pension income at the rate of 100%, as Sweden has done since 1913. Governments can achieve the same effect, as Lesotho does, by allowing pensioners to receive no more than one government benefit. For some workers, a 100% rate of clawback taxes away all benefits from further contributions to an earnings- related plan, which transforms mandated contributions into a tax on earnings. As an employment incentive, Norway, which had a pension test similar to that of Sweden, in 2010 lowered its clawback rate from 100% to 80%. A broad income test is also possible, and is equivalent to a tax surcharge on earnings and savings of the elderly. The test works best when integrated with the income tax system, clawing back the basic pension from all other income. Canada and Iceland are examples of this type of system. Canada claws back its basic pension at the rate of 15%, Iceland at the rate of 25%. Both countries have very modest basic pensions, and allow a large ‘exempt’ amount of income before the surcharge begins. Any basic pension left after clawback is taxed as ordinary income. This test is a tax surcharge on retirement savings (more correctly, on income from accrued assets and on withdrawals from tax-subsidised retirement savings accounts) and on earnings of those who continue to work beyond the state retirement age. Finally, comprehensive tests of income and assets are common, especially in low- income countries. Such a system, Amartya Sen (1995) wrote, “rewards cheating and penalizes honesty”. I would add that it also facilitates corruption. Even when well administered, the tests discourage work beyond retirement age and saving for retirement. The United States basic pension (known as SSI), for example, provides maximum benefits of $698 a month for an eligible individual, or $1,048 a month for an eligible couple. The rules are stringent. To be eligible, a person cannot own assets (real estate, bank accounts, cash, stocks and bonds) worth more than $2,000 ($3,000 for a couple). Benefits are reduced 50 cents for each dollar of wage income (after $65 a month), and dollar for dollar for other income (after $20 a month). Elderly pensioners living in poverty are subjected to high taxes (clawbacks) on incomes that attract no tax at all for non- pensioned workers. In developing countries, means tests typically consider the income and assets of entire households, even of adult children who live independently. Pensions intended for households in poverty are often very small, so represent a small, lump sum tax on those above the cut-off point for benefits. With the heroic assumption of perfect targeting at no cost, this tax might be relatively efficient (little effect on choice), but it is ineffective in providing income security. Means tests can help to finance basic pensions, but we should not ignore their consequences. Almost always, general taxation is a better option. Further reading: N. Rowe & F. Woolley, “The benefits of universality", Policy Options (June 1999), pp. 57-60. http://www.irpp.org/po/archive/jun99/rowe.pdf