Archive for the ‘Health Economics’ Category

the old caring for the old

Thursday, May 23rd, 2013

China is experimenting with recruitment of elderly villagers to look after those who are even older. Qiantun village (Feixiang county), in northern China’s Hebei province, pioneered this new model of low-cost, long-term eldercare.

Labelled “mutual assist eldercare”, the Feixiang model is set to be expanded to the rest of rural China, with 3 billion yuan ($490 million) set aside by the central government to get it started over the coming three years.

“The light of Feixiang will shine across China,” Li Liguo, minister of civil affairs, declared enthusiastically during a trip to Feixiang in 2011. “Feixiang has set an example for the whole country.”

But not everyone is as optimistic about the model. ….

“Old people with critical illnesses need more than the very basic care provided here, and we will have to think of other ways to care for them,” said the 61 year-old former soldier Cai [Qingyang, pioneer of the model] ….

“But this really is the only feasible way given the local elder care situation. The village and the government simply can’t afford proper institutional care for every aged rural resident,” Cai added.

In 2008, Cai sought to do something about the lack of care for rural elderly left behind as young adults sought better paying work in cities. He turned an abandoned brick house into an old-age home, where 25 elderly villagers [now 30!] moved into 11 rooms, keeping each other company, sharing meals, as well as farming and doing housework. ….

The government provides 600 yuan ($97.68) a year in subsidies for each of the 30 elderly Qiantun villagers at the centre. Their average age is 75.

By contrast, offering professional care at an old-age care institution would cost a minimum of ten times as much, 6,000 yuan a year ….

At the Qiantun villager centre, “old” Zhang [Guosheng], as he is known, talks about the future as he brings a bowl of dumplings and medicine to the bedside of his [81-year-old] charge, bedridden by a broken thigh bone.

“He can’t move around now, I help him,” said a still spry [68-year-old] Zhang. “When I can’t move, someone will also care for me.”

Li Hui and Maxim Duncan, “Greying China taps rural elderly to care for those even older“, Reuters, 19 May 2013.

ageing in Hong Kong, New York and London

Sunday, May 12th, 2013

While searching for information on pensioners in Hong Kong, I came across an online publication drafted by a team of four researchers: two from Hong Kong and two from New York City. They compare problems of ageing in three cities: Hong Kong, New York and London. The cities are similar in size (7 to 8 million) and each has about one million older residents (aged 65 years and above), but they differ in important ways, especially in financial security and access to health care.

Two items in the report caught my attention. First, the number of elderly living in poverty (based on household rather than individual income) seems far greater in Hong Kong than in London or New York. Second, access to health care is best in London (because of National Health Service) and poorest in New York (because of large co-pays). Here are relevant excerpts. The full report can be downloaded at the link below. (more…)

physical fitness and health in a collapsed economy

Tuesday, April 23rd, 2013

Could severe economic depression be good for your health? It worked in Cuba. Carleton University economist Arch Ritter explains.

I well remember the 1990s in Havana. Food was in short supply; meat was almost unavailable; gasoline was out of the picture; walking. cycling and the “camello” were the chief sources of transportation. The result? My Cuban friends got thin and fit. This indeed was a general phenomenon in Cuba.

But then in the last decade or so, my friends have put on weight, some in a major way. …. Cuba has climbed back into the ranks of the countries scoring highest in the obesity rankings ….

A recent study published in the BMJ Group has found that the weight losses, greater physical activity, and increased vegetable and legume consumption in this period had a variety of beneficial impacts on health, notably coronary heart disease and diabetes mortality. Then the increased food consumption (and reduced reliance on the bicycle!) during the 2000-2010 period has coincided with a worsening of some of the basic health measures.

Unfortunately the prospects for obesity and related problems may be serious for Cuba, due in part to greater food availability, notably meat, and reduced physical activity. There also may be a psychological factor – the urge to eat a lot when food is available, having gone through earlier periods of hunger.

Arch Ritter, “How Cubans’ Health Improved When Their Economy Collapsed“, The Cuban Economy, 22 April 2013.

Continued at the link above.

The beneficial effects of food shortages must end at some point, when diets become too restricted. North Koreans are thin, but are they physically fit?

On a related subject, death rates tend to fall during recessions, which seems counterintuitive. For an explanation, see this TdJ from last September.

US health care prices

Saturday, March 30th, 2013

The US spends twice as much per capita on health care as other developed countries, and it is not because Americans are notably less healthy, nor do they visit doctors, clinics and hospitals more frequently. The main reason for the outrageously high expenditure, writes Princeton economist Uwe Reinhardt, is that prices are outrageously high. Moreover, prices in the United States are not uniform. They vary markedly, and the patient typically has no idea of what the bill will be until after a service is provided.

In most other countries, prices for health care goods and services are not negotiated between individual health insurers and individual physicians, hospitals or drug companies, as they are in the private insurance sector in United States.

Instead prices there either are set by government or negotiated between associations of insurers and providers of care, on a regional, state or national basis. ….

[Americans pay high prices for health care because] the payment side of the health care market in the private sector is fragmented, weakening the bargaining power of individual insurers, especially vis-à-vis the increasingly consolidated hospital sector, although other factors, including malpractice premiums, play a part as well.

To endow the payment side of health care with more market muscle, I have proposed an all-payer system based on the models used in Germany or Switzerland or in the state of Maryland. In these systems, government does not dictate prices. Instead, health care prices are negotiated at what Europeans call a “quasi market” level.

… [T]he variation of prices for identical items within the United States – even within a single city – dwarfs the cross-national variation in prices for the same item. That phenomenon has begun to attract attention in the news media only lately.

As Consumer Reports noted in an illuminating article, “Health care prices are all over the map, even within your plan’s network.”

Uwe E. Reinhardt. “U.S. Health Care Prices Are the Elephant in the Room“, Economix, New York Times, 29 March 2013.

There is much more in the full blog. Read it to become informed, especially if you reside in the United States.


 

medical insurance for pets

Tuesday, March 26th, 2013

More pets than humans are without medical insurance in the United States, but this is changing. (I am not sure in which direction!)

Natasha and Chris Ashton were a month into their MBA programme at the Wharton school at the University of Pennsylvania when their year-old cat, Bodey, stopped eating. After a visit to the local clinic Bodey was … placed in intensive care for almost a week. Total bill: $5,000. ….

In retrospect, Bodey’s bout of pneumonia (the cat made a full recovery) might have been the best thing that happened to the entrepreneurial couple. On graduating from Wharton in 2003, the Ashtons founded Petplan North America, a pet insurance company … that provides insurance for emergency veterinary costs and hereditary and congenital conditions. ….

In the UK, the Ashtons’ native country, nearly 30 per cent of animal owners have insurance for their pets …. However in the US … that figure hovers at between 1-2 per cent. ….

Advances in veterinary medicine and technology have allowed vets to keep animals healthier for longer but the price of treatment is steep. For instance, treatment for pet cataracts can cost up to $3,000 per eye and canine hip replacement surgery between $3,000-$5,000. ….

[The Ashtons] … looked for an insurance company willing to back them and created company infrastructure to sell policies. Petplan North America’s policies cover emergency treatment, not routine care or vaccinations. The average annual premium is about $400.

Rebecca Knight, “Entrepreneurs see pet project develop into a thriving venture“, Financial Times, 25 March 2013.

the pill

Monday, December 17th, 2012

The birth control pill almost everywhere is available only by prescription. Tim Taylor thinks that we should “stop using the contraceptive pill as a sort of carrot-and-stick to encourage regular doctor visits by women. It should be available over the counter.”

Almost two decades ago in August 1993, a doctor named David Grimes wrote in the American Journal of Public Health: “On public health grounds, oral contraceptives could be made available in vending machines and cigarettes by prescription only. … Our society’s approach to these two agents, both widely used by young women, is paradoxical. Cigarettes, which are readily available even to children, kill over a thousand persons each day. In contrast, oral contraceptives prevent unwanted pregnancy and improve women’s health. Nevertheless, the medical profession poses numerous obstacles to this method of contraception, including a physical examination, a prescription, often a pharmacist, and an impenetrable package insert. … [T]hese medical requirements neither serve nor protect women; they are merely impediments.”

Timothy Taylor, “The Pill Over the Counter?“, Conversable Economist, 17 December 2012.

Another great blog from Tim Taylor, “the conversable economist”.

the limits of Social Security in Mexico

Sunday, December 9th, 2012

The new government in Mexico provides little information, but it is now clear that the PRI – the traditional political party in Mexico, which has been out of power for 12 years – will not fulfil its promise to provide Social Security for everyone. Thanks to an excellent op-ed, written by economist Gustavo Leal Fernández and published in La Jornada newspaper, the intentions of the government of Enrique Peña Nieto are now clear.

President-elect Peña, with co-operation from Mexico’s Congress (where none of the three major parties have a majority), hopes to make five changes to Mexico’s system of Social Security. Together, the changes amount to tinkering around the edges, not a revolution, and certainly not a move to universal Social Security financed by general government revenue. Here are the five proposed changes:

1. Health care. Move toward allowing all who require it to access health care in the hospitals of the Social Security system instead of limiting access to the 30% of Mexicans who contribute to Social Security. To be anything other than an empty promise, this will require a major expansion of Social Security hospitals, and it is not clear how this expansion will be financed.

2. Old age pensions. The age of eligibility for the current “70 y Más” programme will be lowered to 65 years. Apparently there will be no other changes in the programme, but the increased number of beneficiaries requires additional tax revenue. Also, the government promises to increase the subsidy currently provided to those who contribute to retirement savings accounts known as ‘Afores’. This subsidy is not very helpful in attacking the problem of poverty, since workers in the formal sector – who contribute to Social Security, so receive these subsidies – tend to have higher incomes than those in the informal sector. On the other hand, Afores charge high commissions for managing accounts, so one might argue that this is actually a subsidy to the financial sector.

3. Unemployment insurance. Mr Peña promises to have a system operating by the second half of 2014, but provides no details on how it will function.

4. School lunches. To address the increasing problem of obesity in Mexico, beginning in the second half of 2014 public schools will be prohibited from serving fatty and sugary “alimentos chatarra” (literally, rubbish food) that is unhealthy for students.

5. Life insurance for heads of family. This is promised for the first half of 2013, but nothing is yet known on how the amounts will be determined, nor how the insurance will be funded.

For details, see the excerpts below (in Spanish). For more detail, click on the link to read the full column.

La enredada propuesta electoral de Peña por un sistema de seguridad social universal … culminó en tres acotados compromisos … que extienden –otro sexenio– el parche denominado Seguro Popular, más dos compromisos-complementos mínimos …. La anhelada universalidad para todos, pivoteada desde los impuestos generales, se declara sin materializarse. ….

Por su parte, el compromiso … [de] pensión para adultos, seguirá capitalizando el sistema-Afores [Administradoras de Fondos para el Retiro], que cobra altas comisiones devolviendo rendimientos y pensiones mínimas a los verdaderos titulares de los recursos pensionarios: los trabajadores. ….

Pero quien más pierde es el ciudadano usuario mexicano –especialmente los jóvenes– que … sólo recibirá del nuevo PRI una universalidad parchada con entrada efectiva apenas a los racionamientos del acceso universal, cuota social mínima en las Afore y un seguro por desempleo sin rostro. ….

El nuevo PRI carece de una sola línea para atender la primera demanda ciudadana: mejorar servicios, mejorando las condiciones de quienes son los responsables finales de la calidad: los equipos nacionales que brindan la salud y la seguridad social.

Gustavo Leal F., “Pacto por México: parche sobre parche“, La Jornada, Mexico City, 8 December 2012.

Gustavo Leal Fernández is a Professor at the Universidad Autónoma Metropolitana-Xochimilco, where he specialises in public health and social security.

US emergency room care of the uninsured

Monday, November 26th, 2012

Back in July [2007], while trying to justify his opposition to expanding government health care coverage for children, President Bush made a telling comment. The uninsured, he said, “have access to health care in America. After all, you just go to an emergency room.”

That remark stuck many as blithe and callous, and in many ways it was. The uninsured don’t receive in ERs anything like the full array of health care they need. Indeed, one of the abiding arguments for universal health care is that patients often wind up in the emergency room with acute illnesses that could have been treated earlier, and more cheaply, had they been able to afford regular doctor’s visits.

Still, there was a kernel of truth to Bush’s comment ….

Counterintuitive as this may seem, in health care less is often more. The uninsured are virtually immune from receiving unnecessary surgery or other forms of overtreatment that the system constantly encourages. Once uninsured patients are through the door, they cost the hospital money until its doctors make them well enough to leave. There is no incentive to give them treatments they don’t need. Since about 20 percent to 30 percent of all health care spending in the United States goes for overtreatment—much of it dangerous—this is no small advantage.

It’s also true that the nation’s public hospitals, while they may have a Dickensian atmosphere and lack the very latest imaging machines, tend to deliver higher-quality health care than their more prestigious counterparts. For example, Dartmouth researchers John E. Wennberg and Elliot S. Fisher have found that among Medicare patients who are not terminally ill, and who share the same age, socioeconomic, and health status, the chance of dying in the next five years is greater if they go to a high-spending hospital than to a low-spending hospital. Whether suffering from heart attacks, colon cancer, or hip fractures, patients live longer if they stay away from “elite” hospitals, with their overabundance of specialists, and choose a lower-cost St. Elsewhere. Given this unexpected reality, it is perhaps not surprising that patient satisfaction also declines as a hospital’s spending per patient rises. It’s not fun to be overtreated, even if you get valet parking and the finest in pudding.

None of this is to minimize the plight of the uninsured, who die at higher rates than the rest of us in large part because they don’t have access to affordable primary care. But the fact that uninsured patients receive higher-quality acute care than do those with insurance ought to make us think twice about all the plans being put forth by presidential candidates to expand health insurance.

Phillip Longman, “Best Care Everywhere“, Washington Monthly, October 2007.

There is much more in the full article. Read it. Then read Longman’s first article, on the Veterans Health Administration (VHA):

The Best Health Care Anywhere,” Washington Monthly, January/February 2005.

and, finally, his follow-up article, on healthcare information systems:

Code Red: How software companies could screw up Obama’s health care reform“, Washington Monthly, July/August 2009.

All three papers can be downloaded freely, without cost.

socialised medicine in the USA (2)

Sunday, November 25th, 2012

More than four months ago (5 August 2012) I quoted Princeton economist Uwe Reinhardt on the Veterans Administration (VA) health system:

So far I have not received a satisfactory answer from detractors of “socialized medicine” to my question of why we have the V.A. health system when socialized medicine putatively is so evil.

Do you have an answer?

Since then, I came across a post by libertarian economist John C. Goodman that takes up the challenge of Professor Reinhardt.

Don’t you think our military veterans deserve decent health care? I certainly do. That’s why I like Mitt Romney’s idea of setting the veterans free. Give them the opportunity to choose private health care alternatives to the Veterans Health Administration (V.H.A.), a system that too often fails them.

Why can’t we do for veterans what we do for seniors? About one in every four Medicare beneficiaries is not actually in Medicare. They have enrolled instead in private health insurance plans operated by such entities as Aetna, United Health Care, Cigna, etc. Why can’t we give people who risked their lives for the rest of us similar options?

John C. Goodman, “Free Our Veterans Now“, Town Hall, 3 December 2011.

Those private health care plans for Medicare beneficiaries cost taxpayers more than than traditional Medicare does, a minor problem that Mr Goodman overlooks.

Mr Goodman faces another problem. The VA system is widely believed to perform better than private insurers in provision of health care. There is even a book in print, authored by journalist/demographer Phillip Longman, with the title Best Care Anywhere: Why VA Health Care Would Work Better For Everyone (Berrett-Koehler, 3rd edition, 2012). There is no equivalent book with the title “Worst Care Anywhere” or “Free our Veterans”! Wikipedia, in reference to evaluation of the Veterans Health Administration (VHA), has nothing but praise for the agency. Here is the relevant section, in full:

“Patients routinely rank the veterans system above the alternatives, according to the American Customer Satisfaction Index.” In 2008, the VHA got a satisfaction rating of 85 for inpatient treatment, compared with 77 for private hospitals. In the same report the VHA outpatient care scored 3 points higher than for private hospitals.

“As compared with the Medicare fee-for-service program, the VA performed significantly better on all 11 similar quality indicators for the period from 1997 through 1999. In 2000, the VA outperformed Medicare on 12 of 13 indicators.”

A study that compared VHA with commercial managed care systems in their treatment of diabetes patients found that in all seven measures of quality, the VHA provided better care.

A RAND Corporation study in 2004 concluded that the VHA outperforms all other sectors of American health care in 294 measures of quality; Patients from the VHA scored significantly higher for adjusted overall quality, chronic disease care, and preventive care, but not for acute care.

A 2009 Congressional Budget Office report on the VHA found that “the care provided to VHA patients compares favorably with that provided to non-VHA patients in terms of compliance with widely recognized clinical guidelines — particularly those that VHA has emphasized in its internal performance measurement system. Such research is complicated by the fact that most users of VHA’s services receive at least part of their care from outside providers.”

VA Today: Overall Evaluation“, Veterans Health Administration. Wikipedia, accessed 25 November 2012.

John C. Goodman, in his post, attempts to show the VHA in a poor light, but much of the ‘evidence’ that he cites shows, at best, that VA health care is equal to private care. The only source that he shares with Wikipedia is the 2004 RAND Corporation study:

To the V.H.A.’s credit, a RAND study concluded that overall the V.H.A. is providing higher quality care than other patients receive, although it also noted that the system does best on the quality metrics it measures than on the ones that go unmeasured. …. On the most important quality measure of all — did the patient survive? — V.H.A. patients appear to do no better than other patients.

The RAND Corporation study was published in the Annals of Internal Medicine, 21 December 2004.

The Veterans Health Administration (VHA) is a giant bureaucracy. As of 2011 it had nearly 280,000 employees and an annual budget of $47 billion. More than six million veterans are VHA patients, but the VHA is set up to attend primarily to service-connected disabilities, so there is a large overlap of veterans enrolled also in Medicare and Medicaid.

In the mid-1980s and early 1990s, the VHA was widely criticised for poor quality care and high mortality rates. President Bill Clinton in 1994 appointed Dr Kenneth W. Kizer, a physician trained in emergency medicine and Public Health, to reform the VA health care system. The changes were profound, and the quality of care increased markedly, along with patient satisfaction.

Two entries in the Wikipedia article caught my attention. The first refers to pioneering use of electronic records, an important component of Dr Kizer’s reforms:

VHA is especially praised for its efforts in developing a low cost open source electronic medical records system VistA …. With this system, patients and nurses are given bar-coded wristbands, and all medications are bar-coded as well. Nurses are given wands, which they use to scan themselves, the patient, and the medication bottle before dispensing drugs. This helps prevent four of the most common dispensing errors: wrong med, wrong dose, wrong time, and wrong patient. The system, which has been adopted by all veterans hospitals and clinics and continuously improved by users, has cut the number of dispensing errors in half at some facilities and saved thousands of lives.

The second refers to the cost of physician services:

Doctors who work in the VHA system are typically paid less in core compensation than their counterparts in private practice. However, VHA compensation includes benefits not generally available to doctors in private practice, such as lesser threat of malpractice lawsuits, freedom from billing and insurance company payment administration, and the availability of the government’s proprietary VistA electronic records system.

Phillip Longman discusses his book, Best Care Anywhere, in this YouTube interview. There is also a link to the article on which the book was based.

the age of eligibility for Medicare

Friday, November 16th, 2012

Via Mark Thoma, Paul Krugman urges President Obama to refrain from increasing the age of eligibility for US Medicare, which is now set at age 65, because “those [younger] seniors would face sharply higher out-of-pocket costs”.

But what, ask the deficit scolds, do people like me propose doing about rising spending? The answer is to do what every other advanced country does, and make a serious effort to rein in health care costs. Give Medicare the ability to bargain over drug prices. Let the Independent Payment Advisory Board, created as part of Obamacare to help Medicare control costs, do its job instead of crying “death panels.” (And isn’t it odd that the same people who demagogue attempts to help Medicare save money are eager to throw millions of people out of the program altogether?)

Mark Thoma, “Paul Krugman: Life, Death and Deficits“, Economist’s View, 16 November 2012.

I agree. The age of eligibility should go down, not up. How far down? Well, how about to the age of eligibility in effect for Medicare in Canada. That age is a nice round number: zero, null,  naught. In Canada, Medicare is present from birth to death. And, there are no co-payments! Can’t the US, which is as wealthy a country as Canada, do the same for its citizens and taxpayers?

Medicare is a popular programme, even with Tea Party activists. So, why monkey around with Obamacare, which is a huge gift to the insurance companies. It would be far better to simply expand Medicare’s coverage to include everyone, young and old alike. One small change would be necessary. Medicare would have to be funded from general government revenue rather than payroll taxes, because children will not have paid the requisite ten years of Medicare taxes.

Even Hong Kong, that hotbed of free market liberalism, provides nearly free health care for permanent residents of all ages. (A very small, token co-payment is collected from each patient.)

I am not linking directly to Paul Krugman’s blog because it is gated by the New York Times, which, unlike the Financial Times, counts accessing a blog as equivalent to accessing a column from the print edition.